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Weak hope or certain misfortune. Mexican students

By Víctor Flores Olea

Source: La Jornada

The entire country is attentive to the outcome of the conflicts in Guerrero and very especially the case of the 43 student teachers of Ayotzinapa who were kidnapped in Iguala since September 26 and whose whereabouts are unknown. Of course the university and polytechnic and student teachers of almost all cities in Mexico have demanded massively not only for them to be found but to be found alive (hopefully).

It should be remembered that in a report of the General Prosecutor of the Republic that is on the side lines are the 28 bodies found in burial pits with human bodies in the outskirts of Iguala. These, after the right tests (I hope) do not correspond to the young student teachers. This information sent a sigh of relief of optimism because there are serious suspicions that they could be, precisely, the students. This savagery and horror of the behavior of the police and Mafia assassins that here suggest strong arguments that this, in fact, could be fully founded. It seems that this is not the case and opens a crevice of hope. However, the burial pits with unknown bodies are proof of the absolute abandon of the institutions that Guerrero suffers.

In the university media there seem to be two dominant theories on this event of national pain. One is the weak hope that intends to answer the main questions of the informed commentators: Why and for what purpose to provoke horror that occurred in Iguala on September 26? The weak hypothesis of hope would reveals scandalous complicities that have come to light of police officials and gangs of assassins, linked to drug trafficking indicates that these 43 student teachers are in the hands of gangs of Guerrero United that seems to be most active in this state. In information revealed the police of Iguala had handed over these kidnapped students to the real chiefs of these (paid for by the delinquents).

The parties in favor of this theory claim that this would explain the disappearance of these students without leaving a clue because the criminal group has, as is obvious, many hiding places and sites of refuge practically inaccessible such as the forests of the region. But even more: the 43 student teachers kidnapped have become a rich coin of change when the entire country (and also international media) call for their appearance. And, when even the President of the Republic has strongly said that their rescue and localization is an absolute priority of the Mexican State.

The person who has said most regarding this second hypothesis, of the murder of the student teachers by criminal gangs is father Alejandro Solalinde who recently told the press that the student teachers of Ayotzinapa, according to direct witnesses, have been killed and their bodies burned perhaps on that same September 26 at night. These witnesses have refused to testify for fear of also being killed.

Of course it must be said about this hypothesis of certain misfortune that is more widespread in the different media. The group of events and proven complicities make this hypothesis particularly believable that, if confirmed, would be a national mourning. In any case, the arrest of the head of the Guerreros Unitidas was announced several days ago and blamed others responsible for State security, beginning with the President of the Republic.

Also, this has been a tremendous blow to the institutions of the Mexican State. In the first place, because both hypotheses strongly confirm the fragility of the institutions and penetration of delinquency in them throughout the country. In the end, the absence of a decided political will of the high level authorities who don’t seem to assume the necessary speed and strength.

Of course, the arrest of the capos of Guerreros Unidos and police of Iguala and Cocula should lead the authorities for a final clearing up of this serious affair.

Nonetheless no hypothesis facilitates things for the Mexican government because, any way, on the one side hangs the sword of Damocles over the lives of the kidnapped students (if they are alive). Or will the government negotiate with the delinquents to save them? Quite a problem that the government must face if it depends on an atmosphere of total insecurity since there is no guarantee that any negotiations with these assassin gangs succeed? What can they plan on demanding? What conditions are they able to impose? In any case it is very difficult to think of a possible and fair way out for the Mexican state.

In the other hypothesis, perhaps the most probable, is the outright murder of the students, the situation for the government is equally negative or, perhaps more so. First because the voices of protest has grown enormously at a national and international scale and because it confirms the absolutely unstable situation of the country in terms of defense of human rights and regarding the constitutional and legal rights and because this action will have, as has been evident, whatever the variations, very serious political and social consequences for the nation and, of course, economic.

The country is facing a very serious crisis. Will we be out of it without too much erosion? It does not seem easy, the absence, rigor and transparency of the government leadership, at practically all levels to solve the problems that has lead to this crossroads without an easy way out.

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