The Real Cuban "Threat" is about To Start....

There are signs that Obama will be invited to speak over Cuban TV and radio when he visits Havana. [I urge him to go to Guantanamo and hand over the base to the Cubanos as it should have been done in 1934.

Anyway, speaking over radio and TV, with the proper US provided translation should be a royal mindf*ck for the American ideologues and superficial analysts.
People don't remember that when Ronald Reagan initiated Radio Marti the Cubans made an offer that Washington DC turned down. The Cubans offered a reciprocity regime by which Cuba would allow the Voice of America to broadcast from within the island and in return the Cubans would do the same with an English language program of Radio Habana Cuba broadcast to the American public within US territory.

Given the opportunity Obama will speak to the Cubanos. Of course, all the platitudes about about "democracy" and human rights will be mentioned. And, of course, the government in Havana will be as stable as ever, and all the foreign journalists and superficial writers will be puzzled.

Cubans are sufficiently sophisticated as to understand that such is the price that the US president has to pay to get away with attempting to improve relations with the island. Moreover, the Cuban population is more educated and politically savvy than most people realize. The very act will demonstrate that the historical confrontation was initiated by the United States and not by the Cuban government. But that is a long history to be dealt in another venue.

By the way, there are thousands of Cuban emigres and exiles returning to the island. The policy is fairly easy. Moreover, the returning Cubans can move back and forth between Cuba and the country where they had resided. Cubans can easily repatriate and also be allowed to purchase a dwelling and even start their own business. The legal problems are to be found abroad.

The question that Obama and others will have to address will be - what happens when the Cuban emigres want to retire in Cuba and expect to get their social security check in Cuba....! [Note: former Vietnamese exiles who established residence in the US eventually returned to Vietnam and they receive their social security checks in Saigon and elsewhere. Same with former Chinese exiles and emigres.]

I will not be surprised if the US embassy in Havana already has to answer such queries. I get such questions here in ABQ.

Moreover, if the US "normalizes" relations with Cuba and permits the actual transfer of money payments I expect the following:

Americans will go in greater number to Cuba than to Mexico, Puerto Rico and the other islands of the Caribbean. Reasons? a) an educated population b) absolutely NO VIOLENCE, c) NO DRUGS d) sophisticated and lively culture.

In fact, a very different and existential Cuban threat is really about to begin. Or, as the head of the UNDP in Havana stated last April, Cubans have some material poverty and a lot of human capital and social wealth.

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